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Monte Carlo Mismatch Operating Region Discrepancy

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I am running a monte carlo simulation and am observing something inconsistent, think about the design as simple a folded differential amplifier. For a given NFET, on left plot I am showing VGD (DC) in red and Vth in Yellow, both from op in calculator.

On the right plot, I am showing "region" from op, which shows this FET swaps between triode and sat across monte-carlo, though why I see that VGD>Vth for all cases which means I should get triode in all cases and region of 1.

Any idea?


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